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PJM Energy Intelligence

Coincident Peak Watch
Never Miss a Peak.
Never Overpay.

PJM energy customers pay annual capacity charges based on their consumption during just 5 hours each summer. Coincident Peak Watch delivers a 7-day AI forecast every morning at 6:00 AM EST so you can act before it costs you.

Subscribe Now How It Works
Coincident Peak Watch
100%
Recall on all Coincident Peak days 2015–2025
11+
Years of historical training data
7-Day
Daily forecast horizon
6AM
Daily alert delivery EST every morning
The Problem

What Is a Coincident Peak?

PJM Interconnection operates the electrical grid for 13 states in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest. Each summer, PJM identifies the 5 hours of highest total grid demand - these are the 5 Coincident Peaks.

Your annual capacity charge - a significant portion of your electricity bill - is calculated based on how much power you consumed during those 5 specific hours. A large energy user who reduces load on Coincident Peak days can save tens of thousands of dollars per year.

The challenge: Coincident Peak days are only confirmed after summer ends. You must predict them in real time. That is exactly what Coincident Peak Watch does.

Historical Coincident Peak Distribution by Month
June
~30%
July
~45%
Aug
~25%
Sept
~10%

Peak window: 2:00 PM – 8:00 PM EST. Curtail load during Critical alert days.

The Solution
How Coincident Peak Watch Works

A fully automated pipeline that runs every morning and delivers actionable intelligence to your inbox.

1

Weather Fetch

Every morning the system fetches 7-day forecasts from National Weather Service stations covering the PJM region.

2

AI Scoring

A proprietary AI and machine learning model trained on 11+ years of PJM load and weather data scores each day for Coincident Peak probability using dozens of engineered temperature, humidity, and grid demand features.

3

Risk Classification

Each day is classified as Critical, High, Medium, or Low risk. Critical days trigger immediate curtailment recommendations for the 2:00 PM – 8:00 PM EST window.

4

Morning Alert

A professional email report lands in your inbox by 6:00 AM EST every morning during Coincident Peak season - giving you a full day to prepare before the peak window opens.

Pricing
Simple, Transparent Pricing

Early access pricing while we grow. Lock in your rate today.

Coincident Peak Season

$199
per year — billed annually
  • Daily email alerts June through September
  • 7-day Coincident Peak risk forecast
  • Temperature and dewpoint forecast
  • Risk level classification
  • Subscriber dashboard access
  • Early access pricing
Most Popular

Year-Round

$299
per year — billed annually
  • Everything in Coincident Peak Season
  • Year-round daily energy dashboard
  • PJM load vs historical comparison
  • Coincident Peak season countdown
  • Energy market insights
  • Priority support

Forecast Disclaimer: Coincident Peak Watch forecasts are for informational purposes only and do not constitute professional energy advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy. See our full Disclaimer and Terms of Service.

Subscribe to Coincident Peak Watch

Join energy professionals already receiving daily alerts. Cancel anytime.

Coincident Peak Season alerts only (June – September)
Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
PJM Interconnection operates the electrical grid for Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Washington DC. If your electricity is delivered through PJM and you pay capacity charges, Coincident Peak Watch is designed for you.
The model achieved 100% recall on all known Coincident Peak days from 2015 through 2025 - 55 Coincident Peak days across 11 years with zero misses. The model generates approximately 9 false alarms per year, meaning roughly 9 days per season that score elevated but turn out not to be Coincident Peak days. We believe a false alarm is far less costly than missing an actual peak.
On Critical days we recommend curtailing non-essential load between 2:00 PM and 8:00 PM EST. This includes dimming lights, raising thermostat setpoints, delaying large equipment cycles, and shifting flexible loads to off-peak hours. The specific actions depend on your facility and operations - Coincident Peak Watch tells you when to act, you decide how.
The official PJM Coincident Peak measurement period is June 1 through September 30 each year. The 5 highest-demand hours during this window set your capacity charges for the following year. Coincident Peak Watch begins daily monitoring on May 15 to ensure you are prepared from day one of the season.
Yes — you can cancel anytime through your subscriber dashboard by clicking "Manage Subscription", or by contacting us at contact@neuralnetpm.com. Your access will remain active through the end of your current billing period.